RetrainMap / Pivot Audits / First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers
The Pivot Audit · verified 2026-08-15
First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers: an honest AI-exposure audit
Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of clerical and administrative support workers.
How to read this page (the honest frame)
- “Exposure” is not a layoff prediction. The indices measure how much an occupation's task content overlaps with what AI systems can do — published research, not prophecy. The Anthropic Economic Index states its data “cannot ground advice on career choices in either direction,” and the AIOE authors describe exposure, not displacement.
- Sources disagree, and we show it. Where BLS projects growth for an occupation the indices score as highly exposed, both numbers appear. We do not pick the scarier one.
- Every figure is dated. All numbers on this page were re-derived from the named primary sources on 2026-08-15. Prices and projections change; check the source link before acting on any figure.
- No scare copy. If a number looks calm, that is what the source says. If it looks bad, same.
What the AI-usage data actually shows
Read this correctly: it measures how often tasks like this occupation's appear in Claude conversations — not how many members of the occupation use AI; “augmentation vs automation” describes conversation styles, not job outcomes. Snapshot of period 2026-05-01; no trend exists. Source: Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY 4.0), retrieved 2026-08-15. The dataset's own instruction: it “cannot ground advice on career choices in either direction.”
What the “related occupations” pivot list really offers
Pivot tools — free and paid — typically recommend O*NET's related occupations for your job. Here is that exact list for First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers, with each occupation's AI-exposure percentile attached. Judge the escape value yourself.
4 of the 12 scored “related occupations” sit below the median of AI exposure — a thin list, and thinner than pivot-tool marketing implies. Check the wage on each before calling it an escape.
8 of the 20 related occupations carry no AIOE score (2018-SOC codes newer than the index) — an honest gap, labeled in the table.
| # | Related occupation (O*NET 30.3) | AI-exposure percentile (AIOE) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers | 89th |
| 2 | First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers | 51st |
| 3 | First-Line Supervisors of Passenger Attendants | not scored |
| 4 | First-Line Supervisors of Entertainment and Recreation Workers, Except Gambling Services | not scored |
| 5 | First-Line Supervisors of Housekeeping and Janitorial Workers | 36th — below median |
| 6 | Administrative Services Managers | not scored |
| 7 | First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers | 49th — below median |
| 8 | First-Line Supervisors of Helpers, Laborers, and Material Movers, Hand | not scored |
| 9 | First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators | not scored |
| 10 | First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers | 43rd — below median |
| 11 | First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers | 52nd |
| 12 | Management Analysts | 98th |
| 13 | General and Operations Managers | 64th |
| 14 | First-Line Supervisors of Personal Service Workers | not scored |
| 15 | Human Resources Specialists | 94th |
| 16 | Human Resources Assistants, Except Payroll and Timekeeping | 93rd |
| 17 | First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers | not scored |
| 18 | First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers | 45th — below median |
| 19 | Office Clerks, General | 74th |
| 20 | Project Management Specialists | not scored |
Computed 2026-08-15 from O*NET 30.3 “Related Occupations” × AIOE percentiles (average-rank method; full method in the source ledger). Across all 782 scoreable occupations, an occupation's exposure percentile and its related occupations' mean exposure percentile correlate at r = 0.907; 122 of 192 top-quartile-exposed occupations (63.5%) have zero related occupations below median exposure. “Skills-adjacent and AI-safe” is a near-empty set for exactly the people searching for it.
The routes that actually change the number
In the data, pivots that genuinely reduce exposure are mostly job-zone jumps into hands-on work — retraining, not adjacency. That has real costs and real prices, so here they are, from the institutions' own pages. Routes below are the nearest-by-wage destinations from our audited library (exposure ≤ 60th percentile).
Physical Therapist Assistants
What training costs (published prices, dated):
- 2-year associate at community colleges. No program price was re-verified today.
Surgical Technologists
What training costs (published prices, dated):
- Certificate or associate program at community colleges (typically 1–2 years). No program price was re-verified today — ask your local college for the total published cost.
Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses
What training costs (published prices, dated):
- Lincoln Land Community College (IL) LPN certificate — ≈$8,899 total in-district tuition and fees at the 2025–26 rate ($287/credit; 2026–27: $293/credit); books, supplies and licensing ≈$1,100 more, itemized on the page (llcc.edu, verified 2026-08-15)
Funding: training toward routes like these can be WIOA-fundable for eligible adults and dislocated workers — eligibility is determined at your local American Job Center (find yours); state Eligible Training Provider Lists name the approved programs. Registered apprenticeships are searchable at apprenticeship.gov.
The full report for First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers — $29, one-time
This free audit shows the shape. The paid report builds your priced menu: every evidenced route out of First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers with published program costs near you, earnings records where they exist (College Scorecard field-of-study / Census PSEO), apprenticeship and WIOA funding pointers, the credential ladder, and the same honest exposure read — every figure sourced and dated. No score theater, no “safe jobs” list the data cannot support.
The $29 report Read the free specimen first
No email capture before purchase. No countdown timer. It's a report, not a funnel.
Sources for this page
- O*NET 30.3 database (Occupation Data, Related Occupations, Job Zones), USDOL/ETA, CC BY 4.0 — downloaded 2026-08-15.
- Wages (May 2025 OEWS), employment (2024), projections (2024–34): BLS data as republished on this occupation's O*NET OnLine page, fetched 2026-08-15. bls.gov is the primary source.
- AIOE: Felten, Raj & Seamans (2021), data appendix — SOC-2010 vintage, built pre-ChatGPT; treated as one published estimate, not truth.
- Anthropic Economic Index, period 2026-05-01, CC BY 4.0 — retrieved via API 2026-08-15.
- Adjacency statistics computed 2026-08-15; method: source ledger, §1.